Will Home Prices Continue to Increase?

Blog Post Image
Market Trends

There are many unsubstantiated theories about what is happening with home prices. From those who are worried that prices are falling (data shows this is untrue), to those who are concerned that prices are again approaching boom peaks because of “irrational exuberance” (this is also untrue as prices are not at peak levels when they are adjusted for inflation), there seems to be no shortage of opinion.

However, the increase in prices is easily explained by the theory of supply & demand. Whenever there is a limited supply of an item that is in high demand, prices increase. It is that simple. In real estate, it takes a six-month supply of existing salable inventory to maintain pricing stability. In most housing markets, anything less than six months will cause home values to appreciate and anything greater than seven months will cause prices to depreciate (see chart below).

 

According to the Existing Home Sales Report from the National Association of Realtors (NAR), the monthly inventory of homes for sale has been below six months for the last five years (see chart below).

 

And so here's the Bottom Line...

If buyer demand continues to outpace the current supply of existing homes for sale, prices will continue to appreciate. Nothing nefarious is taking place. It is simply the theory of supply & demand working as it should.

For More Information about today's real estate market, please feel free to contact me:

(435) 640-1488

Katrina@KatrinaAuthement.com

www.KatrinaAuthement.com or www.LiveTheParkCityLife.com   

Free Real Estate Mobile App:  Text Utahhomes103 to 32323

Free Home Valuation:  www.KatrinasUtahHomeValues.com